Deal 36
 
 
 
♠ ?
?
?
♣ ?
 
 WEST  NORTH  EAST  SOUTH
1NTpass BID 
 

You are South and it is your bid.
Decide what you would say, then click on BID .
   
  ♠ Q J 9 8 7 3
K Q 6
7 2
♣ J 4
 

 
Deal 36
 
 
 
♠ 6 4
A 7 3
K Q 5 4
♣ A K 8 2
 
 WEST  NORTH  EAST  SOUTH
1NTpass4♠
passpasspass

HE WHO KNOWS, GOES
You KNOW your side has 26-28 points.
You KNOW your side has 8 or more ♠s.
You GO to 4♠.

South plays 4♠. West leads the J.

Make a Plan, then click NEXT .
   
  ♠ Q J 9 8 7 3
K Q 6
7 2
♣ J 4
 

 
Deal 36
 
 
 
♠ 6 4
A 7 3
K Q 5 4
♣ A K 8 2
  South plays 4♠. West leads the J.

Losers: ♠ 2/3 : 0 : 1 : ♣ 0 : Total = 3/4

You are definitely going to lose the A and the ♠ A K. Therefore you must plan to avoid losing a third ♠.

You should lead UP TO your honor cards. Cover the J and lose to East's A. Win his return (probably another ) in dummy. Lead a small ♠ to your ♠J. West wins with an honor and probably plays the 10. Ruff it, lead a ♣ to dummy and lead the last ♠. If East plays the other high honor you play low. If East plays low you guess whether to play the ♠K, or ♠10. Your best play is to assume the two honors were split and play the ♠Q.

Click NEXT for the full deal.
   
  ♠ Q J 9 8 7 3
K Q 6
7 2
♣ J 4
 

 
Deal 36
 
 
 
♠ 6 4
A 7 3
K Q 5 4
♣ A K 8 2
  Leading twice toward the ♠ Q J gives you a guarantee on this layout because East held a doubleton high honor.

Now click for an alternate possible DEAL .
♠ A 10 2
10 8 4
J 10 9 3
♣ Q 10 5
♠ K 5
J 9 5 2
A 8 6
♣ 9 7 6 3
  ♠ Q J 9 8 7 3
K Q 6
7 2
♣ J 4
 

 
Deal 36
 
 
 
♠ 6 4
A 7 3
K Q 5 4
♣ A K 8 2
  Here West has taken your ♠J with the ♠A. When you again lead a small ♠ from dummy say that East plays the ♠5.

You might think that West is just as likely to have held an original doubleton ♠ A K as doubleton ♠ A 10, and that playing the ♠9 would be as good a play as ♠Q.

This is untrue for a very classy-named reason - The Principle of Restricted Choice. You may not even believe it when you read it, but it's mathematically sound. If West were dealt an original ♠ A K, he would have been just as likely to win with the ♠K as with the ♠A. The fact that he actually won the ♠A makes it less likely that he also holds the ♠K.

 Deal 37 
♠ A 10
10 8 4 2
J 10 9 3
♣ Q 10 5
♠ K 5 2
J 9 5
A 8 6
♣ 9 7 6 3
  ♠ Q J 9 8 7 3
K Q 6
7 2
♣ J 4